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TOPIC: OBAMA

Re: OBAMA 1 year, 9 months ago #10373

  • Occam
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xracer wrote:
Obama said both he and Bush are unpatriotic, but Bush didn't increase the debt enough in 8 years, and his policies would reverse that trend. Promises made. Promises kept. Oh, I forgot about the part with skyrocketing energy prices; he's working overtime on that so that voters will have more reasons to vote him into a second term.




An amazingly, but typical, blind comparison. Bush took a budget surplus and turned it into an additional $6 trillion in debt and he did this during a time of economic growth when he should have been paying down the debt in preparation for the next recession and the entitlement crisis. His last fiscal year saw the largest deficit since before rock and roll - 9.4% of GDP. Obama has reduced the deficit every year he has been in office despite the need for stimulus spending to ameliorate the recession impact. CBO projection says the budget is on a path to be reduced by two thirds in 2013 - 3.2% of GDP.

Obama, has in two years done more to reduce future energy prices than Bush did in 8 years.
Last Edit: 1 year, 9 months ago by Occam.

Re: OBAMA 1 year, 9 months ago #10375

  • jdeere5220
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At the risk of being redundant-

Bush and Obama have very little influence on the budget and the deficit. Congress has by far the greatest influence. Congress sets tax policy. Congress decides what pork they are going to fund this year. Congress controls the purse.

The president controls foreign policy and the president controls the military. Yes, he can set the tone or say what he wants Congress to do, but in the end it's our blood-sucking congress that is responsible for our huge debt and unpaid-for entitlements.
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Re: OBAMA 1 year, 9 months ago #10376

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jdeere5220 wrote:
At the risk of being redundant-

Bush and Obama have very little influence on the budget and the deficit. Congress has by far the greatest influence. Congress sets tax policy. Congress decides what pork they are going to fund this year. Congress controls the purse.

The president controls foreign policy and the president controls the military. Yes, he can set the tone or say what he wants Congress to do, but in the end it's our blood-sucking congress that is responsible for our huge debt and unpaid-for entitlements.


Presidents, at least when their party controls congress, can have a big influence on the budget. They have the Bully Pulpit, are the party leader, can come into office with a mandate from the people, their VP can cast a deciding vote in the Senate (as Gore did to pass the Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993) and they have the veto. The 3 biggest budget legislations in the last 40 years that changed the direction of the deficits/surpluses were spearheaded by Presidents and they managed it with compromise and the political tools mentioned above: but two of the three times (Clinton's surpluses and Bush deficits) happened only because their party controlled congress.

Obama now has little influence on the budget because he lost his mandate after the 2010 election and his party no longer controls congress. Add in a large contigent in the opposing party that are basically economic suicide bombers with no interest in compromise and you have our budget chaos.

Obama came into office with a mandate to stop the death spiral in the economy, not to balance the budget. Done.

I expect in the next election the dichotomous mandate will be balance the budget and grow jobs, but beyond increasing taxes on the wealthy and decreasing defense spending I doubt the mandate will include a basic workable formula. We will have to see what the candidates say over the next year and if any plausable solutions gain traction with the public.
Last Edit: 1 year, 9 months ago by Occam.

Re: OBAMA 1 year, 9 months ago #10380

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Occam wrote:
jdeere5220 wrote:
At the risk of being redundant-

Bush and Obama have very little influence on the budget and the deficit. Congress has by far the greatest influence. Congress sets tax policy. Congress decides what pork they are going to fund this year. Congress controls the purse.

The president controls foreign policy and the president controls the military. Yes, he can set the tone or say what he wants Congress to do, but in the end it's our blood-sucking congress that is responsible for our huge debt and unpaid-for entitlements.


Presidents, at least when their party controls congress, can have a big influence on the budget. They have the Bully Pulpit, are the party leader, can come into office with a mandate from the people, their VP can cast a deciding vote in the Senate (as Gore did to pass the Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993) and they have the veto. The 3 biggest budget legislations in the last 40 years that changed the direction of the deficits/surpluses were spearheaded by Presidents and they managed it with compromise and the political tools mentioned above: but two of the three times (Clinton's surpluses and Bush deficits) happened only because their party controlled congress.

Obama now has little influence on the budget because he lost his mandate after the 2010 election and his party no longer controls congress. Add in a large contigent in the opposing party that are basically economic suicide bombers with no interest in compromise and you have our budget chaos.

Obama came into office with a mandate to stop the death spiral in the economy, not to balance the budget. Done.

I expect in the next election the dichotomous mandate will be balance the budget and grow jobs, but beyond increasing taxes on the wealthy and decreasing defense spending I doubt the mandate will include a basic workable formula. We will have to see what the candidates say over the next year and if any plausable solutions gain traction with the public.


TARP was supposed to stop the "Great Depression". Obama's policies was no different than any other Progressive: spend, spend, spend and make as many dependent on government as possible. Free this, free that...we're broke. What part of that don't you understand?

What you Obama zombies can't come to grips with is his economic policies have completely 100% failed. Period. End of story. Do you like the taste of double dip?

Go ahead Occam, go back two plus years ago in the old forum and see exactly what I said would happen. It wasn't hard to visualize the insanity.

As for Clinton, he was dragged kicking and screaming. It's all easily found for those interested. My how history revisionists are working overtime. But at least Clinton was smart enough to know when to budge. Obama is a rigid ideologue, pure and simple, and will go down with the ship (the U.S. economy).

Next you'll say Buffet had no political connection to Obama with his $5 billion "investment" of BoA.

Re: OBAMA 1 year, 9 months ago #10387

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Obama “Stimulus” Protected 450,000 Government Jobs, Destroyed One Million Private Jobs
In their new study, “The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act: Public Sector Jobs Saved, Private Sector Jobs Forestalled,” economists Timothy Conley (University of Western Ontario) and Bill Dupor (Ohio State University) present their empirical findings of the economic impact on employment of the 2009 Obama stimulus package of $787 billion, entitled the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA). ARRA was passed based on Keynesian economic theory that claimed that massive federal spending would boost the economy of the Great Recession and create private-sector jobs. However, Conley and Dupor find the following:

Our benchmark results suggest that the ARRA created/saved approximately 450 thousand state and local government jobs and destroyed/forestalled roughly one million private sector jobs. State and local government jobs were saved because ARRA funds were largely used to offset state revenue shortfalls and Medicaid increases rather than boost private sector employment. The majority of destroyed/forestalled jobs were in growth industries including health, education, professional and business services. This suggests the possibility that, in absence of the ARRA, many government workers (on average relatively well-educated) would have found private-sector employment had their jobs not been saved. Searching across alternative model specifications, the best-case scenario for an effectual ARRA has the Act creating/saving a net 659 thousand jobs, mainly in government.

Conley and Dupor further note that:

A large fraction of the Federal ARRA dollars was channeled through and controlled by state and local governments. . . . Upon acquisition of ARRA funds for a specific purpose, a state or local government could cut its own expenditure on that purpose. As a result, these governments could treat the ARRA dollars as general revenue, i.e. the dollars were effectively fungible. . . . Federal aid arrived when state and local governments were entering into budget crises. . . . The deterioration of the non-Federal government budget position occurred concurrently with an increase in Federal grants . . , mainly due to the ARRA, of approximately the same amount. In fact, a substantial component of the ARRA was authorized specifically to cover states’ tax losses (through the State Fiscal Stabilization Fund) and the most dramatic cost increases (through support for state Medicaid programs).

These federal policies were inspired by the similarly harmful policies of FDR in his New Deal of the 1930s. However in his book, Depression, War, and Cold War: Challenging the Myths of Conflict and Prosperity, Independent Institute Senior Fellow Robert Higgs has shown that federal stimulus measures then were responsible for prolonging and deepening the Great Depression which did not end until after such policies were ended in the immediate aftermath of World War II.


Jennifer Granholm claimed she left Michigan with a surplus when in reality it was bailout money from the Federal Government.

Re: OBAMA 1 year, 8 months ago #10392

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It's funny as heck to read this bit of wisdom now, isn't it?


steveg wrote:
With his approval rating way above Bush and unemployment dropping I don't see a revolt anytime soon.
The past is only as far away as the last breath you took.
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Re: OBAMA 1 year, 8 months ago #10399

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Occam wrote:

Obama, has in two years done more to reduce future energy prices than Bush did in 8 years.


Now I know why I avoid this particular forum! What have you been smoking to make a statement like that? By appointing a radical leftist to the EPA, Obummer has by proxy and his own executive orders effectively killed oil exploration and the coal industry through overregulations thereby fulfilling his promise to give us 'skyrocketing energy prices'. Gasoline prices remain twice what they were two years ago despite the fact that oil crude prices have dropped dramatically.
His equally totalitarian EPA has passed so many regulations that it is impossible to create new industries and is also crippling existing industries from being effective. You are living in a delusional dream world!
Back to more sane forums where I don't get whiplash from shaking my head in disbelief at your statements.
The past is only as far away as the last breath you took.
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Re: OBAMA 1 year, 8 months ago #10401

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tjnamtiw wrote:
Occam wrote:

Obama, has in two years done more to reduce future energy prices than Bush did in 8 years.


Now I know why I avoid this particular forum! What have you been smoking to make a statement like that? By appointing a radical leftist to the EPA, Obummer has by proxy and his own executive orders effectively killed oil exploration and the coal industry through overregulations thereby fulfilling his promise to give us 'skyrocketing energy prices'. Gasoline prices remain twice what they were two years ago despite the fact that oil crude prices have dropped dramatically.
His equally totalitarian EPA has passed so many regulations that it is impossible to create new industries and is also crippling existing industries from being effective. You are living in a delusional dream world!
Back to more sane forums where I don't get whiplash from shaking my head in disbelief at your statements.


The difference between my statement and yours is I made a well reasoned argument based on accepted facts, you just made baseless claims. You can, however, thank deregulation for low gas prices two years ago - deregulation of the financial industry. The banks destroyed the economy, industrial activity and consumer travel which reduced demand for oil, so of course prices dropped. Nice strategy

While gas prices sored under Bush and fuel economy made no improvments, Obama's increase in fuel economy standards and investment in R&D of alternate energy will reduce demand for oil in the future and this will have more impact on energy costs than drilling in environmentaly sensitve areas.

Occam wrote:
Occam wrote:


....blindly blaming or crediting presidents for fuel prices is stupid. Its about supply and demand. Since the US only produces about 6% of the worlds oil our production level has little impact on world supply and therefore world crude prices. On the other hand we consume almost 25% of the worlds oil production so any change in that demand can have a significant impact on oil prices.
...— reductions in petroleum demand due to increased fuel efficiency in the United States helped collapse OPEC market power in 1986. So Obama's ramp up to a 54 mpg CAFE standard will be helping to hold down the rise in gasoline prices for the next 15+ years.


We would have to triple US oil production (a 12% increase in world supply) to have the same impact on oil prices as Obama's policy of doubling the vehicle mpg (a 12% decrease in world demand). Plus it's not about $/gal it's about total fuel expense. Since we will use half the fuel this will further decrease costs 50%, while increasing production has no impact on useage. And it is not economicaly possible to double US oil production, let alone triple it - even if the industry wanted to do it. But doubling the mpg is doable; even increasing mpg by a factor of 10 is eventually doable, while the long term prospect of oil extraction rates from finite reserves can only go down.

Even if it were possible to triple the USA oil production this would only deplete our relatively small oil reserves 3 times faster.

So we see it's about the math. We can't "drill baby drill" and reduce gasoline prices by more than a few nickels and we just hasten depletion of our reserves which will only reduce production faster in the long term. But the increased fuel efficiency in vehicles (which has started already) will hold down prices much more than is possible by increased US oil production and it delays the onset and the impact of a peak oil crisis.

And of course none of the above takes into account the huge savings in health and environmental costs from burning less oil or the increased environmental cost from increased drilling in sensitive areas.


"Drill Baby Drill" is "Dumb Baby Dumb".


Having said this, even if we let the oil industry drill whereever they want, assuming that world oil markets continue to work as they do today, we can expect OPEC to neutralize any potential price impact of oil production by reducing its oil exports by an equal amount.

As for Obama killing oil exploration, the same areas are open to exploration and drilling that were available under Bush.
Last Edit: 1 year, 8 months ago by Occam.

Re: OBAMA 1 year, 8 months ago #10404

  • jdeere5220
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Occam wrote:
Obama's increase in fuel economy standards


Didn't know Obama was an automotive engineer. Wow, what a guy!


Occam wrote:
and investment in R&D of alternate energy


And an incredible philanthropist too? Oh... wait... it's NOT HIS MONEY.
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Re: OBAMA 1 year, 8 months ago #10413

  • xracer
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Occam wrote:
tjnamtiw wrote:
Occam wrote:

Obama, has in two years done more to reduce future energy prices than Bush did in 8 years.


Now I know why I avoid this particular forum! What have you been smoking to make a statement like that? By appointing a radical leftist to the EPA, Obummer has by proxy and his own executive orders effectively killed oil exploration and the coal industry through overregulations thereby fulfilling his promise to give us 'skyrocketing energy prices'. Gasoline prices remain twice what they were two years ago despite the fact that oil crude prices have dropped dramatically.
His equally totalitarian EPA has passed so many regulations that it is impossible to create new industries and is also crippling existing industries from being effective. You are living in a delusional dream world!
Back to more sane forums where I don't get whiplash from shaking my head in disbelief at your statements.


The difference between my statement and yours is I made a well reasoned argument based on accepted facts, you just made baseless claims. You can, however, thank deregulation for low gas prices two years ago - deregulation of the financial industry. The banks destroyed the economy, industrial activity and consumer travel which reduced demand for oil, so of course prices dropped. Nice strategy

While gas prices sored under Bush and fuel economy made no improvments, Obama's increase in fuel economy standards and investment in R&D of alternate energy will reduce demand for oil in the future and this will have more impact on energy costs than drilling in environmentaly sensitve areas.

Occam wrote:
Occam wrote:


....blindly blaming or crediting presidents for fuel prices is stupid. Its about supply and demand. Since the US only produces about 6% of the worlds oil our production level has little impact on world supply and therefore world crude prices. On the other hand we consume almost 25% of the worlds oil production so any change in that demand can have a significant impact on oil prices.
...— reductions in petroleum demand due to increased fuel efficiency in the United States helped collapse OPEC market power in 1986. So Obama's ramp up to a 54 mpg CAFE standard will be helping to hold down the rise in gasoline prices for the next 15+ years.


We would have to triple US oil production (a 12% increase in world supply) to have the same impact on oil prices as Obama's policy of doubling the vehicle mpg (a 12% decrease in world demand). Plus it's not about $/gal it's about total fuel expense. Since we will use half the fuel this will further decrease costs 50%, while increasing production has no impact on useage. And it is not economicaly possible to double US oil production, let alone triple it - even if the industry wanted to do it. But doubling the mpg is doable; even increasing mpg by a factor of 10 is eventually doable, while the long term prospect of oil extraction rates from finite reserves can only go down.

Even if it were possible to triple the USA oil production this would only deplete our relatively small oil reserves 3 times faster.

So we see it's about the math. We can't "drill baby drill" and reduce gasoline prices by more than a few nickels and we just hasten depletion of our reserves which will only reduce production faster in the long term. But the increased fuel efficiency in vehicles (which has started already) will hold down prices much more than is possible by increased US oil production and it delays the onset and the impact of a peak oil crisis.

And of course none of the above takes into account the huge savings in health and environmental costs from burning less oil or the increased environmental cost from increased drilling in sensitive areas.


"Drill Baby Drill" is "Dumb Baby Dumb".


Having said this, even if we let the oil industry drill whereever they want, assuming that world oil markets continue to work as they do today, we can expect OPEC to neutralize any potential price impact of oil production by reducing its oil exports by an equal amount.

As for Obama killing oil exploration, the same areas are open to exploration and drilling that were available under Bush.


As for Obama killing oil exploration, the same areas are open to exploration and drilling that were available under Bush.


Still making things up Occam?

obama administration cancels oil leases

ExxonMobil Sues Gov't for Canceling Deepwater Well Worth ‘Billions of Barrels’
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